Despite all the hype surrounding the '08 elections a few polls remind some candidates of one thing: It's early. Which means don't get your hopes up. According to data collected by the International Herald Tribune,
One-quarter of people questioned say they would not vote for a Mormon candidate, compared with 8 percent who say they would not vote for a woman and 3 percent for a black candidate, according to a Newsweek poll in December. Tough news for Romney, who is still polling a distant third.
Most Republicans and those who lean Republican are unaware of Giuliani's support for civil unions for same-sex couples and abortion rights, according to a Gallup poll in mid-January. This is made even worse by the fact that public support for McCain is probably based on a fairly firm base of knowledge about him. Knowledge of Giuliani is probably based mostly on his response as New York's mayor to the Sept. 11 attacks.
Nonetheless, Republicans have picked the early front-runner in seven of the past 10 elections, according to Gallup polling...in the other three, the Republican incumbent was elected. If Giuliani can hang on to his fairly strong lead, he will be in fine shape. But if the above stats are true, we could see McCain pulling ahead. None of this looks good for Romney, but he continues to gain momentum and insider support - which is key for a Republican Candidate.
Democrats on the other hand have a wide open field. Clinton's high poll numbers mean little in that race.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment